This report examines the effects that changes in laws--meant to encourage turnout and protect public health during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic--had on voter turnout and the effects of in-person voting on the spread of COVID-19.
The authors provide information on how the fit between the Basic Allowance for Housing and area housing prices has evolved for Army personnel and the implications of that fit for the adequacy of housing for Army personnel.
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The CIA intervened regularly in Latin America politics during the Cold War, in some cases going as far as bringing about regime change. We study the economic, political, and civil society effects of CIA-sponsored regime change in five Latin American countries and find that these actions caused moderate declines in real per-capita income and large declines in democracy scores, rule of law, freedom of speech, and civil liberties. Our findings show that any benefits to come out of these interventions should be weighed against the large costs that were imposed on the people living in these countries.
The decision to use a military intervention to achieve a political goal is inherently risky. To offset some of these risks, slates sometimes seek to build coalitions made up of partner states that have similar objectives. This report uses quantitative analysis and a series of qualitative case studies to identify and describe factors that seem to be associated with U.S. decisions to use coalitions for military interventions, factors that drive partner slates to join such coalitions, and factors that shape the success of military coalitions. The findings indicate that the United States relies on coalitions when operational demands are high and to build international legitimacy for military action. Partner states are most likely to join U.S. coalitions when they have close ties with me United States, when the precipitating crisis is in their home region, when they seek to advance their international standing, and when the coalition has support from an intergovernmental organization. As the United States faces more significant threats from near peer competitors, it may need to rely on partners more heavily and can leverage the insights in this report to construct strong and durable coalitions. Book jacket.
The authors examine trade-offs between the contributions of campaigning instruments to U.S. strategic goals and their costs. They provide the foundations of a decision-support tool to inform U.S. Department of Defense campaign planning.
· 2023
Using an updated version of RAND's Recruiting Resource Model, the authors analyze how observed and alternative mixes of advertising, recruiters, and bonuses affect the Army's ability to achieve recruiting goals and the cost of doing so.
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· 2023
This annex contains the technical details of the research and analysis presented in the main report, Assessing the Value of Overseas Military Campaigning in Strategic Competition. This project was intended to develop a framework for assessing the trade-offs between the contributions of campaigning instruments to U.S. strategic goals and their costs. The authors discuss their data sources, modeling strategies, baseline models, and robustness analysis.
· 2024
Four appendixes contain data processing details, technical details and supplemental tables for recruiter characteristics, details and tables for the assignment of additional recruiters, and details and tables for each recruiting market type.
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After Georgia declared its independence from the Soviet Union, it experienced civil war and strife for more than a decade. In late 2003, the peaceful Rose Revolution installed a new government that began a series of radical market-liberal reforms. However, the effectiveness of these reforms was controversial. We offer a rigorous evaluation of these reforms via the synthetic control method which creates a credible counterfactual. Compared to the synthetic controls, we find that the reforms enacted after the Rose Revolution led to significant improvements in Georgia's social and economic development, albeit with temporary side effects and argue that this case provides some support for the effectiveness of rapid, multidimensional reform.